Market Meter for Greater San Antonio and the Texas Hill Country
October 2026 Edition
The short version for October 2026: the San Antonio metro sits at about 6 months of housing supply, right at the line between a balanced market and a buyer-leaning one. Months of supply is a simple gauge. Under 4 months favors sellers, 4 to 6 months is a balanced market, and over 6 months favors buyers. Each month I check the freshest public reports for the four counties and the communities I serve, list the source and date next to every figure, and leave out anything I cannot verify.
One thing to keep in mind: the metro number is an average. Pockets move differently. Comal County and Canyon Lake are clearly buyer-favorable, while Alamo Ranch still reads as seller-leaning. Your neighborhood is what matters, and the table below shows you each area on this run of the meter.
Published and verified October 19, 2026
The Meter for October 2026
The needle below is the metro reading: about 6.0 months of supply per the San Antonio Board of REALTORS September 2026 report, with the Texas A&M Real Estate Center cross-check putting the San Antonio-New Braunfels metro at 6.2 months for September. That lands the needle at the top edge of the balanced zone, just short of buyer-favorable territory.
Seller market
Under 4 months of supply. Fewer homes on the market, more competition among buyers.
Balanced market
4 to 6 months of supply. Buyers and sellers negotiate from a more even position.
Buyer market
Over 6 months of supply. More homes to choose from, longer market time, more room to negotiate.
Metro months of supply
0 to 10 months scale
Balanced, at the top edge. A second measure (Texas A&M, September 2026) reads 6.2 months, just over the line into buyer-lean. Either way, this is not the tight seller market of a few years ago.
Source: TPR covering the SABOR September 2026 report, October 16, 2026, which put the San Antonio area at about six months of supply.
Cross-check: Texas A&M Real Estate Center, Texas Housing Insight, September 2026, which put the San Antonio-New Braunfels metro at 6.2 months, the highest among major Texas metros.
What the Meter Means for You
Use the extra time and selection
At about 6 months of supply, homes sit roughly 82 days and sell at about 92.8% of the original list price (SABOR, August 2026). That is real negotiating room. Get pre-approved first so your offer is taken seriously, then ask for what you need, whether that is a price adjustment, closing cost help, or a repair credit. In the buyer-favorable pockets, Comal County at 7.3 months and Canyon Lake at 14.6 months, you can be the most selective of all.
Price against closed comparables
In a balanced market with about 6 months of supply, homes take longer to sell and often close below the original list price. Price your home against recent closed sales, not the asking price of neighboring listings, and be ready for requests on repairs and concessions. A seller-paid rate buydown can widen the pool of qualified buyers in a 7% rate environment, and that often beats a larger price cut.
These are general market-readings, not a promise for any specific home. Individual neighborhoods and price ranges move differently from the regional number. I run each client's actual numbers before they make an offer or list a home.
By Area, This Month
Each card lists months of inventory when a named source actually published it, and the verified median and days-on-market figures with the source and date for every area. Where no months-of-inventory figure was published, the card says n/p and gives you the freshest validated numbers instead so you can gauge the area yourself.
San Antonio / Bexar County
San Antonio metro (SABOR area)
6.0 moBalanced, top edge
Median sale price $299,275, 82 days on market, August 2026
San Antonio-New Braunfels metro (Texas A&M)
6.2 moBuyer-lean
Highest months supply among major Texas metros, September 2026
Bexar County
n/pTrack the metro read
No separate county months-of-inventory figure published; the SABOR metro figure is the closest county-level read
Stone Oak
n/pCompetitive on speed
Median about $440,000, down 7.4% year over year; 188 homes for sale, up 14.6%; 14.5 median days on market
Alamo Ranch (78253)
3.2 moSeller-leaning
Median sold price $317,217; the one submarket still under 4 months of supply
Helotes
n/pCompetitive
Median $467,000 over 3 months, up 21.6% year over year; about 27 days on market
Timberwood Park (78260)
n/pBalanced to buyer-lean
Median $518,000, up 0.6%; 62 days on market; 32.9% of listings price-reduced
Comal County
Comal County
7.3 moBuyer's
About 106 days on market; homes closing near 92.5% of original list price
New Braunfels
6.45 moBalanced, buyer edge
Median about $347,000 over 3 months ending August 2026 (Redfin)
Bulverde (78163)
11.2 moBuyer's
Redfin called the market 'somewhat competitive' with a 3-month median near $855,000 (up 48% year over year), even though months of supply is high
Spring Branch (78070)
n/pBuyer-lean
Median about $570,000, up 9% year over year; Redfin ranks the market not very competitive
Canyon Lake (78133)
14.6 moBuyer's
Median sold $394,500 over 6 months to October 2026; ranked No. 7 buyer market nationally
Kendall County
Boerne
4.7 moBalanced
Median sale price about $505,000, up 6.25% year over year; about 151 active listings
Fair Oaks Ranch
n/pLow relative inventory
60 homes in inventory with 64 closed sales, up 28% year over year; about 38 average days on market, Q2 2026
Guadalupe County
Guadalupe County
n/pBuyer-lean
About 1,841 active listings, about 110 median days on market, median near $328,000, September 2026
Schertz (78154)
n/pTrack DOM and median
Median $354,995, 62.5 days on market, 336 active listings, September 2026
Cibolo
n/pTrack the median
Median sold price $342,000 across 278 tracked closings in the six months to October 2026
How to read the n/p rows: months of inventory is published regularly by SABOR for the metro and by some local brokerages for specific ZIPs, but it is not published at all for many individual neighborhoods. Where it is missing, I show the most recent validated median price and days on market with the source and date, and I do not guess at a months-of-inventory number. A neighborhood that is price-reducing at scale (Timberwood Park, 32.9% of listings) or ranked not very competitive (Spring Branch) reads differently from one selling in under 30 days (Stone Oak, Helotes).
Sources for This Edition
Every figure above was checked against the linked source on October 19, 2026, with the publication date shown. This page is not an appraisal, a quote, or an offer of credit. Market data is a snapshot, not a forecast, and the numbers change every month. I refresh this meter monthly.
Want the read on your specific budget?
The meter gives you the region. I can give you the picture for the exact area and price range you are shopping. Book a time and bring your numbers.
Figures are from public sources as of October 19, 2026, and are refreshed monthly. They are provided for education only and are not a quote, an appraisal, a rate commitment, or an offer of credit. Actual numbers vary with market conditions and your individual situation.
On your side,
Patrick Kevin Fagan
The Mortgage Patriot, San Antonio, Texas
