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If you plan to refinance within 3-5 years, buying points may not pay off. Calculate your breakeven. If the breakeven exceeds your planned timeline before refinancing, skip the points. If you plan to keep the loan 7+ years, points usually win. The key is matching the point investment to your expected loan life.

Breakeven vs Refinance Timeline

The breakeven on 1 point is typically 5-6 years. If you refinance in year 3, you lose the upfront point cost. If you refinance in year 7, the points have already paid for themselves. The closer your refinance timeline is to the breakeven, the more carefully you need to calculate.

The Calculation

Compare the point cost to the total savings before refinancing. On a $350,000 loan: 1 point costs $3,500, saves $59/month. If you refinance in 3 years: $59 x 36 = $2,124 savings vs $3,500 cost = net loss of $1,376. If you refinance in 7 years: $59 x 84 = $4,956 savings vs $3,500 cost = net gain of $1,456.

When Points Still Work

If interest rates are high and you expect them to drop in 5+ years, points can still make sense. The savings from points accumulate each month. Even if you refinance, you enjoyed lower payments during that period. Additionally, some lenders offer points that are partially refundable if you refinance with them.

When to Skip Points

Skip points if you are buying with a plan to refinance within 2-3 years. Take the lender credit instead. If rates are expected to drop significantly, you will refinance early and the points will be wasted. Also skip points if your cash reserves are tight.

Alternatives When Refinancing

Instead of buying points, consider a no-point loan with a s ightly higher rate. Look at a temporarty buydown if you expct rates to drop within 2 years. A no-cost refinance where the lender covers costs in exchang for a higher rate may also make sense.

Patrick's Take

"I always ask clients about their refinance plans before recommending points. A client last year was sure they would stay 7 years but refinanced in year 2 when rates dropped. They lost $4,000 in points. If they had taken the lender credit instead, they would have received $3,000 back at closing. The points vs credit decision is all about your timeline. Be honest with yourself about whether you will actually stay."
PF
Patrick Kevin Fagan
Patrick Kevin Fagan

Patrick Kevin Fagan

Loan Officer and Realtor · AXEN Realty LLC

Over 23 years helping Texas buyers find the right mortgage strategy. Patrick Kevin Fagan is a dual-licensed real estate agent and mortgage loan originator serving buyers throughout Greater San Antonio and the Texas Hill Country.

Thinking About Refinancing?

Patrick can help you decide whether points make sense given your refinance timeline.

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